-1- May 31, 2017 J apan S ecurities D ealers A ssociation J apanese B ankers A ssociation
S ecuritization Market T rends S urvey R eport ( Issuance T rends in the S econd Half of F iscal 2016)
T his report is a summary of the results of the “S ecuritization Market T rends S urvey” (see J S DA ’s website at <http://www.jsda.or.jp/en/index.html>), conducted monthly by the J apan S ecurities D ealers A ssociation (J S D A ) and the J apanese B ankers A ssociation (J B A ), for the second half of fiscal 2016, the period from October 1, 2016 to March 31, 2017.
In addition, please refer to an attached sheet for the numerical data used in a chart.
I. Overall Issuance T rends for S ecuritization Products
L ooking at the issuance trends for securitization products in the second half of fiscal 2016, both the amount and number of issues increased year-on-year. T he total issuance amount was ¥ 2,259.5 billion, increasing 18.1% from the second half of fiscal 2015, while the number of issues was 75, up 11.9% year-on-year. T he issuance amount exceeded ¥ 2 trillion as in the first half of fiscal 2016 (see C hart 1).
R eference: T he total issuance amount of corporate straight bonds during the second half of fiscal 2016 was ¥ 4,809.1 billion (provisional figure).
C hart 1. S ecuritization Product Issuance A mount and Number of Issues
2.3 2.9
3.4 4.8
4.6 5.2
3.43.4 2.3
1.4 1.6
1.31.21.4 1.9
1.51.5
1.31.31.4 1.1
1.61.7 1.9
2.32.3 138
158 145
167
146 168
134 127
110 94
79 67
5453 48
4338
5253 74
6262 58 67 61 75 0 30 60 90 120 150 180
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
04/1H2H05/1H2H06/1H2H07/1H2H08/1H2H09/1H2H10/1H2H11/1H2H12/1H2H13/1H2H14/1H2H15/1H2H16/1H2H (¥trillion) (issues)
Numberofissues (rightscale) Issuanceamount
II. Issuance T rends by Underlying A ssets
L ooking at the securitization product issuance amount for the second half of fiscal 2016 by underlying assets, the amount of “R MB S ,” “C D O,” and “S hopping credits” increased, whereas in contrast, “C MB S ,” “L eases,” “C onsumer loans,” “S ales receivables/C ommercial bills” and “Others” decreased. A bove all, the issuance amount of “R MB S ” and “Shopping credits” increased by more than 100.0 billion (see C hart 2).
C har t 2. S ecuri t i z at i on P r oduct I ssuance A mount by U nderl y i ng A ssets
N ot e: F r om a sur v ey based on S ept ember 30,2016, we r ev i ewed some of t he underl y i ng asset s cl assi fi cat i on. P l ease r efer t o t he "E xpl anat i on M at er i al s" i n t he at t achment for det ai l s.
Others
Foundationfunds,subordinated-loan,businesscashflow, medicalreceivables,andothers
Salesreceivables/Commercialbills Salesreceivables,commercialbills
Shoppingcredits Shoppingloans,creditcardloans,automobileloans
Consumerloans Consumerloans,bankcardloans
Leases Leasecredits
CDO
(CollateralizedDebtObligations)
Corporateloans,corporatebonds,creditdefaultswaps,andothers CMBS
(CommercialMortgage-backedSecurities)
Commercialrealestatecollateralizedloans,commercialrealestate RMBS
(ResidentialMortgage-backedSecurities)
Housingloansandloanstoindividualstobuildcommercialapartments 0
1 2 3 4 5 6
04/1H2H05/1H2H06/1H2H07/1H2H08/1H2H09/1H2H10/1H2H11/1H2H12/1H2H13/1H2H14/1H2H15/1H2H16/1H2H (¥trillion)
RMBS CMBS CDO Leases
Consumer loans
Shopping credits
Sales receivables/ Commercial
bills
Others Total
-3- III. Issuance T rends by Product T ype
L ooking at the securitization product issuance amount (¥ 2,259.5 billion) by product type, the amount of “Bonds” was ¥ 1,238.9 billion (54.8% of the total), followed by “T rust beneficiary rights” with ¥ 923.5 billion (40.9%) (see C hart 3).
C har t 3. S ecuri t i z at i on P r oduct I ssuance A mount by P r oduct T y pe
IV . Issuance T rends by R epayment Method
L ooking at the securitization issuance amount (¥ 2,259.5 billion) by repayment method, the amount of “Pass-through repayments” was ¥ 2,040.0 billion (90.3 % of the total) (see C hart 4).
C hart 4. S ecuritization Product Issuance A mount by R epayment Method
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
04/ 1H 2H 05/ 1H 2H 06/ 1H 2H 07/ 1H 2H 08/ 1H 2H 09/ 1H 2H 10/ 1H 2H 11/ 1H 2H 12/ 1H 2H 13/ 1H 2H 14/ 1H 2H 15/ 1H 2H 16/ 1H 2H (¥trillion)
Notnoted
Installmentrepayments
Lumpsumrepaymentsatmaturity Pass-throughrepayments
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
04/ 1H 2H 05/ 1H 2H 06/ 1H 2H 07/ 1H 2H 08/ 1H 2H 09/ 1H 2H 10/ 1H 2H 11/ 1H 2H 12/ 1H 2H 13/ 1H 2H 14/ 1H 2H 15/ 1H 2H 16/ 1H 2H (¥trillion)
Others Bonds
V . Issuance T rends by Pl anned/A verage T erm to Maturity
L ooking at the securitization issuance amount (¥ 2,259.5 billion) by planned/average term to maturity, the most popular term, except for “Not noted”, was “1 year to 3 years ” with ¥ 226.1 billion (10.0% of the total) (see C hart 5).
C hart 5. S ecuritization Product Issuance A mount by Planned/A verage T erm to Maturity
V I. Issuance T rends by C redit R ating
L ooking at the securitization issuance amount (¥ 2,259.5 billion) by credit rating, the amount of “A A A ” was ¥ 1,973.8 billion (87.4% of the total) ( see C hart 6).
C hart 6. S ecuritization Product Issuance A mount by C redit R ating
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
04/ 1H 2H 05/ 1H 2H 06/ 1H 2H 07/ 1H 2H 08/ 1H 2H 09/ 1H 2H 10/ 1H 2H 11/ 1H 2H 12/ 1H 2H 13/ 1H 2H 14/ 1H 2H 15/ 1H 2H 16/ 1H 2H (¥trillion)
Notnoted Short-termrating CCC
B BB BBB A AA AAA
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
04/ 1H 2H 05/ 1H 2H 06/ 1H 2H 07/ 1H 2H 08/ 1H 2H 09/ 1H 2H 10/ 1H 2H 11/ 1H 2H 12/ 1H 2H 13/ 1H 2H 14/ 1H 2H 15/ 1H 2H 16/ 1H 2H (¥trillion)
-5- <supplementary information>
(ⅰ)R MB S Issuance T rends by Originator
L ooking at the R MB S issuance amount (¥ 1,542.3 billion) by originator, the amount of “J apan Housing F inance A gency” (J HF ) was ¥ 1,177.8 billion (76.4 % of the total), followed by “Others” with ¥ 220.7 billion (14.3%) and “C ommercial / trust banks” with ¥ 143.8 billion (9.3%) (see C hartⅰ).
C hartⅰ. R MB S Issuance A mount by Originator
(ⅱ)R MB S Issuance T rends by Product T ype
L ooking at the R MB S issuance amount (¥ 1,542.3 billion) by product type, the amount of “B onds” was ¥ 1,177.8 billion (76.4% of the total), followed by “T rust beneficiary rights” with ¥ 340.0 billion (22.0%) (see C hartⅱ).
C hartⅱ. R MB S Issuance A mount by Product T ype 0
1 2 3 4
04/1H2H05/1H2H06/1H2H07/1H2H08/1H2H09/1H2H10/1H2H11/1H2H12/1H2H13/1H2H14/1H2H15/1H2H16/1H2H (¥trillion)
Others
Nonbanks
Regionalbanks
Commercial/trustbanks
JapanHousingFinanceAgency
N ot e: A br eak dow n of ”O t her s” i s pr ov i ded t he A ppendi x .(F Y 2012 1st H al f)and l at er.
0 1 2 3 4
04/ 1H 2H 05/ 1H 2H 06/ 1H 2H 07/ 1H 2H 08/ 1H 2H 09/ 1H 2H 10/ 1H 2H 11/ 1H 2H 12/ 1H 2H 13/ 1H 2H 14/ 1H 2H 15/ 1H 2H 16/ 1H 2H (¥trillion)
Others Bonds
(ⅲ)R MB S Issuance T rends by R epayment Method
L ooking at the R MB S issuance amount (¥ 1,542.3 billion) by repayment method, all repayments, except for “Not noted”, were “Pass-through repayments” with ¥ 1,535.2 billion (99.5%) (see C hartⅲ).
C hartⅲ. R MB S Issuance A mount by R epayment Method
(ⅳ)L aunch S pread at Issuance (J HF Monthly MB S )
T he launch spread (spread between the coupon rate of “J HF Monthly MB S ” and the yield of the most recentl y priced 10-year reference J GB) for “J HF Monthly MB S ” contracted from October 2016 to J anuary 2017 and thereafter remained flat (see C hart ⅳ).
C hart ⅳ. J HF Monthly R MB S L aunch S pread
0 1 2 3 4
04/1H2H05/1H2H06/1H2H07/1H2H08/1H2H09/1H2H10/1H2H11/1H2H12/1H2H13/1H2H14/1H2H15/1H2H16/1H2H (¥trillion)
Notnoted
Installmentrepayments
Lumpsumrepaymentsatmaturity Pass-throughrepayments
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
└13 / 1H ┘└13 / 2H ┘└14 / 1H ┘└14 / 2H ┘└15 / 1H ┘└15 / 2H ┘└16 / 1H ┘└16 / 2H ┘